http://www.drf.com/news/article/50892.html
Feeling lore of stars, lure of longshots
By ANDREW BEYER
ARCADIA, Calif. - The Breeders' Cup World Thoroughbred Championships have a 19-year history of producing dramatic upsets. Longshots such as Arcangues ($269.20), Wild Again ($64.60), and last year's Classic winner, Volponi ($89), are as much a part of the event's lore as the superstars who have won it.
Surprises occur frequently in the Breeders' Cup because almost all of the entrants have talent, and in a 14-horse field some will inevitably go off at sky-high odds. When a race looks evenly matched, or when a favorite appears vulnerable, it makes sense to take a chance with a plausible longshot. And that is what I will be doing in several spots Saturday at Santa Anita. Here are my selections:
Juvenile Fillies
Many handicappers think Halfbridled is unbeatable, too. After winning all three of her starts with ease, she will be an overwhelming favorite. But she benefited from perfect set-ups in her last two starts, and she has to overcome post 14 Saturday. I can't play Forest Music, the filly with the best Beyer Speed Figure; she has raced only once and doesn't have enough experience. However, both Society Selection and my top pick, Class Above, are capable of upsetting Halfbridled.
Feeling lore of stars, lure of longshots
By ANDREW BEYER
ARCADIA, Calif. - The Breeders' Cup World Thoroughbred Championships have a 19-year history of producing dramatic upsets. Longshots such as Arcangues ($269.20), Wild Again ($64.60), and last year's Classic winner, Volponi ($89), are as much a part of the event's lore as the superstars who have won it.
Surprises occur frequently in the Breeders' Cup because almost all of the entrants have talent, and in a 14-horse field some will inevitably go off at sky-high odds. When a race looks evenly matched, or when a favorite appears vulnerable, it makes sense to take a chance with a plausible longshot. And that is what I will be doing in several spots Saturday at Santa Anita. Here are my selections:
Juvenile Fillies
Many handicappers think Halfbridled is unbeatable, too. After winning all three of her starts with ease, she will be an overwhelming favorite. But she benefited from perfect set-ups in her last two starts, and she has to overcome post 14 Saturday. I can't play Forest Music, the filly with the best Beyer Speed Figure; she has raced only once and doesn't have enough experience. However, both Society Selection and my top pick, Class Above, are capable of upsetting Halfbridled.
3rd (10:55)
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1)
Distance: 1 1/16 Miles Surface: Dirt Fillies Age: 2 Year Olds Stakes
Purse $1,000,000.
Prg.# PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Dixie High Espinoza V Kitchingman Adam 119 0 L 30-1
2 2 Shadow of Mine Valdivia J Jr Greely C Beau 119 0 Blk-On L 50-1
3 3 Hollywood Story Valenzuela P A Shirreffs John 119 0 Blk-On L 15-1
4 4 Forest Music Prado E S Shuman Mark 119 0 L 12-1
5 5 Ashado Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 119 0 L 20-1
6 6 Society Selection Ganpath R Jerkens H Allen 119 0 8-1
7 7 Class Above Flores D R Baffert Bob 119 0 L 7-2
8 8 Victory U. S. A. Bailey J D Baffert Bob 119 0 L 10-1
9 9 Renaissance Lady Baze T C Lukas D Wayne 119 0 Blk-On L 30-1
10 10 Vino Tinto Fogelsonger R Hines N J 119 0 L 50-1
11 11 Zosima Day P Harty Eoin 119 0 L 15-1
12 12 Tarlow Smith M E Shirreffs John 119 0 L 15-1
13 13 Be Gentle Velasquez C Lukas D Wayne 119 0 L 20-1
14 14 Halfbridled Krone J A Mandella Richard 119 0 L 7-5
$1 EXACTA / $1 TRIFECTA / $1 SUPERFECTA WAGERING
$1 PICK 3 WAGERING (RACES 3,4,5)
$2 DAILY DOUBLE WAGERING
$2 HEAD2HEAD WAGERING #8 VS. #12
Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1)
Distance: 1 1/16 Miles Surface: Dirt Fillies Age: 2 Year Olds Stakes
Purse $1,000,000.
Prg.# PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Dixie High Espinoza V Kitchingman Adam 119 0 L 30-1
2 2 Shadow of Mine Valdivia J Jr Greely C Beau 119 0 Blk-On L 50-1
3 3 Hollywood Story Valenzuela P A Shirreffs John 119 0 Blk-On L 15-1
4 4 Forest Music Prado E S Shuman Mark 119 0 L 12-1
5 5 Ashado Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 119 0 L 20-1
6 6 Society Selection Ganpath R Jerkens H Allen 119 0 8-1
7 7 Class Above Flores D R Baffert Bob 119 0 L 7-2
8 8 Victory U. S. A. Bailey J D Baffert Bob 119 0 L 10-1
9 9 Renaissance Lady Baze T C Lukas D Wayne 119 0 Blk-On L 30-1
10 10 Vino Tinto Fogelsonger R Hines N J 119 0 L 50-1
11 11 Zosima Day P Harty Eoin 119 0 L 15-1
12 12 Tarlow Smith M E Shirreffs John 119 0 L 15-1
13 13 Be Gentle Velasquez C Lukas D Wayne 119 0 L 20-1
14 14 Halfbridled Krone J A Mandella Richard 119 0 L 7-5
$1 EXACTA / $1 TRIFECTA / $1 SUPERFECTA WAGERING
$1 PICK 3 WAGERING (RACES 3,4,5)
$2 DAILY DOUBLE WAGERING
$2 HEAD2HEAD WAGERING #8 VS. #12
